Seven Days of Bracketology 5+6: Upsets, Blowouts, And A New #1

With a massive win over Duke, North Carolina jumps to the top line.

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Of the top 45 teams in the nation, 17 play today. For now North Carolina is a top seed, while Tennessee jumps to #8 overall, good for a two seed. Providence’s unbelievable run to the Big East Championship has them up to #39 overall and a 10 seed. Oh, and Louisville loses their spot due to Nevada’s 17 point loss to San Diego State. This crazy sport. The top seeds continue below.

Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
North Carolina

2 seeds (#5-8)
Cincinnati
Duke
Xavier
Tennessee

3 seeds (9-12)
Michigan State
West Virginia
Michigan
Purdue

4 seeds (13-16)
Wichita St
Texas Tech
Auburn
Gonzaga

5 seeds (17-20)
Clemson
Arizona
Houston
Ohio St

6 seeds (21-24)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Rhode Island
Miami

7 seeds (25-28)
TCU
Florida
Butler
Texas A&M

8 seeds (29-32)
Missouri
Seton Hall
Creighton
USC

9 seeds (33-36)
Alabama
St. Bonaventure
Kansas St
Virginia Tech

10 seeds (37-40)
Florida St
NC State
Providence
Nevada

11 seeds (41-45)
Middle Tennessee
Loyola-Chicago
South Dakota State
Oklahoma*
Baylor*

12 seeds (46-50)
Texas*
Nebraska*
Vermont
New Mexico St
UL-Lafayette

13 seeds (51-54)
Buffalo
Charleston
Bucknell
UNC Greensboro

14 seeds (55-58)
Western Kentucky
Murray State
New Mexico
Montana

15 seeds (59-62)
Wright State
Pennsylvania
Lipscomb
Iona

16 seeds (63-68)
Radford
UC Irvine
SE Louisiana*
Hampton*
LIU-Brooklyn*
Ark-Pine Bluff*

*denotes play-in game

First four out. . .

Marquette
Notre Dame
Syracuse
Louisville

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Seven Days of Bracketology 4: The Power Conference Tournaments Begin

Something’s wrong with that image.

Hmm. . .

Now the real tournaments begin. The Big East, Pac 12, SEC, and Big 12 tournaments all start today. The ACC’s predictable first round has concluded, and Louisville-Florida State begins the wild day at 11:00.

1 seeds (#1-4)
Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
Xavier

2 seeds (5-8)
Duke
Cincinnati
Michigan State
North Carolina

3 seeds (9-12)
Auburn
Tennessee
Michigan
Texas Tech

4 seeds (13-16)
Gonzaga
Purdue
West Virginia
Wichita State

5 seeds (17-20)
Clemson
Arizona
Houston
Ohio St

6 seeds (21-24)
Kentucky
Missouri
TCU
Miami

7 seeds (25-28)
Florida
Texas A&M
Arkansas
Nevada

8 seeds (29-32)
Virginia Tech
Rhode Island
Seton Hall
Creighton

9 seeds (33-36)
NC State
Oklahoma
Butler
Florida St

10 seeds (37-40)
Arizona St
USC
St. Bonaventure
Middle Tennessee

11 seeds (41-45)
Alabama
Kansas St
Baylor
Providence*
Louisville*

12 seeds (46-50)
Texas*
Nebraska*
Loyola-Chicago
South Dakota State
Vermont

13 seeds (51-54)
New Mexico State
UL-Lafayette
Buffalo
Charleston

14 seeds (55-58)
UNC-Greensboro
Murray State
Montana
Bucknell

15 seeds (59-62)
UC Davis
Wright State
Pennsylvania
Lipscomb

16 seeds (63-68)
Iona
Radford
Nicholls State*
Hampton*
LIU-Brooklyn*
Ark-Pine Bluff*

*Denotes play-in game

First four out. . .
Syracuse
Washington
Saint Mary’s
Marquette

Seven Days of Bracketology 3: West Coast Chaos

It was a quiet Monday for power teams, but some mid-major shuffling flew under the radar. In between the two lies West Coast chaos, as BYU upset Saint Mary’s 85-72, putting the latter’s tournament hopes on life support.

The pros of the Gaels’ resume are limited to a win at Gonzaga and a 28-5 record. However, Saint Mary’s lost to Washington State (12-18, 4-14 Pac 12), Georgia (16-14, 7-11 SEC), and San Francisco (18-15, 9-9 WCC). The Gaels are in the First Four Out, and need some help to participate in the Madness.

1 seeds (#1-4)
Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
Xavier

2 seeds (5-8)
Duke
Cincinnati
Michigan State
North Carolina

3 seeds (9-12)
Auburn
Tennessee
Michigan
Texas Tech

4 seeds (13-16)
Purdue
West Virginia
Wichita State
Gonzaga

5 seeds (17-20)
Clemson
Arizona
Houston
Ohio St

6 seeds (21-24)
Kentucky
Missouri
TCU
Miami

7 seeds (25-28)
Florida
Texas A&M
Arkansas
Nevada

8 seeds (29-32)
Virginia Tech
Rhode Island
Seton Hall
Creighton

9 seeds (33-36)
NC State
Oklahoma
Butler
Florida St

10 seeds (37-40)
Arizona St
USC
St. Bonaventure
Middle Tennessee

11 seeds (41-45)
Alabama
Kansas St
Baylor
Providence*
Louisville*

12 seeds (46-50)
Texas*
Nebraska*
Loyola-Chicago
New Mexico St
UL-Lafayette

13 seeds (51-54)
South Dakota State
Vermont
Buffalo
UNC-Greensboro

14 seeds (55-58)
Murray State
Charleston
Montana
Bucknell

15 seeds (59-62)
UC Davis
Wright State
Pennsylvania
Lipscomb

16 seeds (63-68)
Wagner
Iona
Radford*
Nicholls State*
Hampton*
Ark-Pine Bluff*

*Denotes play-in game

First four out
Washington
Syracuse
Saint Mary’s
Marquette

Seven Days of Bracketology 2: Michigan Climbs

Michigan’s Big Ten Tournament win catapulted the Wolverines up to the three line, while Purdue falls to a four seed. Not much else changes, although a blowout Gonzaga win tonight could move the Zags over Clemson. On to the field!

1 seeds (#1-4)
Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
Xavier

2 seeds (5-8)
Duke
Cincinnati
Michigan State
North Carolina

3 seeds (9-12)
Auburn
Tennessee
Michigan
Texas Tech

4 seeds (13-16)
Purdue
West Virginia
Wichita State
Clemson

5 seeds (17-20)
Gonzaga
Arizona
Houston
Ohio St

6 seeds (21-24)
Kentucky
Missouri
TCU
Miami

7 seeds (25-28)
Florida
Texas A&M
Arkansas
Nevada

8 seeds (29-32)
Virginia Tech
Rhode Island
Seton Hall
Creighton

9 seeds (33-36)
NC State
Oklahoma
Butler
Florida St

10 seeds (37-40)
Arizona St
St. Mary’s
USC
St. Bonaventure

11 seeds (41-45)
Middle Tennessee
Alabama
Kansas St
Baylor*
Providence*

12 seeds (46-50)
Louisville*
Nebraska*
Loyola-Chicago
New Mexico St
UL-Lafayette

13 seeds (51-54)
Buffalo
South Dakota St
Vermont
Murray State

14 seeds (55-58)
UNC Greensboro
Charleston
Montana
Bucknell

15 seeds (59-62)
UC Davis
Wright State
Pennsylvania
Lipscomb

16 seeds (63-68)
Wagner
Iona
Radford*
Nicholls State*
Hampton*
Ark-Pine Bluff*

*Denotes play-in game

First four out
Texas
Washington
Syracuse
Marquette

Seven Days of Bracketology 1: The First Autobids Finalize

One week until Selection Sunday, college basketball has received some clarity. Conference tournaments are underway, with two teams (Radford and Lipscomb) booking their tickets to March Madness. Three top seeds seem entrenched, but Xavier could slip. Which of the two seeds will position themselves for a move up?

1 seeds (#1-4)
Virginia
Villanova
Kansas
Xavier

2 seeds (5-8)
Duke
Michigan State
Cincinnati
North Carolina

3 seeds (9-12)
Auburn
Tennessee
Purdue
Texas Tech

4 seeds (13-16)
W Virginia
Wichita St
Clemson
Michigan

5 seeds (17-20)
Gonzaga
Arizona
Houston
Ohio St

6 seeds (21-24)
Kentucky
Missouri
TCU
Miami

7 seeds (25-28)
Florida
Texas A&M
Arkansas
Nevada

8 seeds (29-32)
Virginia Tech
Rhode Island
Seton Hall
Creighton

9 seeds (33-36)
NC State
Oklahoma
Butler
Florida St

10 seeds (37-40)
Arizona St
St. Mary’s
USC
St. Bonaventure

11 seeds (41-45)
Middle Tennessee
Alabama
Kansas St
Baylor*
Providence*

12 seeds (46-50)
Louisville*
Nebraska*
Loyola-Chicago
New Mexico St
UL-Lafayette

13 seeds (51-54)
Buffalo
South Dakota St
Vermont
Murray State

14 seeds (55-58)
UNC Greensboro
Charleston
Montana
Bucknell

15 seeds (59-62)
UC Davis
Wright State
Pennsylvania
Lipscomb

16 seeds (63-68)
Wagner
Iona
Radford*
Nicholls State*
Hampton*
Ark-Pine Bluff*

Team clinched autobid

*Denotes play-in game

First four out
Texas
Washington
Syracuse
Marquette

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20 Wins and the Race to March

While college basketball’s consistent chaos reigns, there is a constant for power conference teams. Generally, 20 wins send a team to play in March. For mid-majors, an at-large bid is almost impossible, and requires a higher win total.

While 20 wins seem to be the metronome, factors also include non-conference success, strength of schedule, and most importantly, conference record. After the Whistle sets the stage for the teams that have clinched tickets to the NCAA Tournament.

Clinched (a month early)

This section includes teams who could lose every remaining game and still make the tournament. However, 20 wins are not the only factor. It’s a short list one month prior to March Madness.

Villanova (20-1, 7-1 Big East)

A terrific non-conference run highlighted by a win over a really good Tennessee team continued, as the Wildcats destroyed Xavier by 24 en route to a 20-1 record. The sole blemish is a loss to Butler, who always seems to beat the nation’s current #1.

Virginia (20-1, 9-0 ACC)

After limiting red-hot Clemson to 36(!!!) points, the Cavaliers stand undefeated in the best league in basketball. Virginia hasn’t lost since December 5th at West Virginia. Re-read. Other teams run away. Continuing!

Purdue (21-2, 10-0 Big Ten)

Non-conference losses to Tennessee (understandable) and Western Kentucky (less so) have vanished into oblivion, as the Boilermakers are tearing up the Big Ten. Ohio State (9-1) and Michigan State (8-2) are the only teams close to the conference leaders.

One concern for Purdue’s March seeding is the schedule of another B1G contender. With the return of Amir Coffey, Minnesota faces a similar situation to last year, and a similar schedule. If the Golden Gophers go on a similar run to 2017, their B1G tournament semifinal (4 v. 1 seed) could be against Purdue.

 

While some other teams are close to clinching bids to the Tournament, these three can start worrying about seeding. Villanova, Virginia, and Purdue have played terrific basketball en route to strong cases for a top seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Tennessee–North Carolina: Playing for a 2-seed

Tennessee and North Carolina meet Sunday afternoon in a matchup of two terrific teams. While the Tar Heels are defending national champions, the Vols have been a surprise. Wins over Purdue, NC State, and a better-than-one-thinks Mercer have catapulted Tennessee into the top 25, and coach Rick Barnes’ team has a chance to cement themselves in the national conversation.

North Carolina is still a terrific basketball team. Joel Berry is back, while Luke Maye has entered superstardom. Maye will try to defend Grant Williams, Tennessee’s electric forward averaging 16.1 points and 7.3 rebounds per game. If Williams stays out of foul trouble, (3.5 fouls per game) Tennessee has all the tools around him to knock off UNC.

Bracket implications

Jerry Palm of CBS Sports currently projects both teams as three-seeds in his latest bracket. The winning team will find themselves a top 10 team heading into conference play.